{"id":62882,"date":"2023-06-29T18:51:10","date_gmt":"2023-06-29T18:51:10","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"strategie-pro-sazeni-na-pocet-setu-u-muzu-na-grand-slamu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/tuttofare.cz\/?p=62882","title":{"rendered":"Strategie pro s\u00e1zen\u00ed na po\u010det set\u016f u mu\u017e\u016f na Grand Slamu"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Z\u00e1kladn\u00ed probl\u00e9m s p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u00ed set\u016f<\/h2>\n<p>V\u011bt\u0161ina tip\u00e9r\u016f se zam\u011b\u0159uje na v\u00edt\u011bze z\u00e1pasu, zapom\u00edn\u00e1, \u017ee po\u010det set\u016f je vlastn\u00ed sportovn\u00ed ud\u00e1lost, kde se kurzy h\u00fdbou rychleji ne\u017e m\u00ed\u010d na antuce. Vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed variance, ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed likvidita, a p\u0159esto \u0161ance na v\u00fdnos 2\u20113\u00d7 va\u0161eho vkladu \u2013 to je tenhle segment, kter\u00fd prask\u00e1 po cel\u00e9 planet\u011b.<\/p>\n<h2>Rozd\u011blen\u00ed hr\u00e1\u010d\u016f podle stylu hry<\/h2>\n<p>Pod\u00edvejme se na dva typy mu\u017e\u016f: &#8222;maratonci&#8220; a &#8222;sprinteri&#8220;. Maratonci \u2013 nap\u0159. Djokovic, Nadal \u2013 si rozlo\u017e\u00ed energii, \u010dasto kon\u010d\u00ed v p\u011bti setech. Sprinteri \u2013 jako Zverev nebo Tiafoe \u2013 cht\u011bj\u00ed rychle rozdrtit soupe\u0159e, \u010dasto uzav\u0159ou z\u00e1pas v dvou nebo t\u0159ech setech. Zde je \u0161patn\u00e1 intuice: nekladat jen na top hr\u00e1\u010de, ale na jejich charakteristick\u00e9 setov\u00e9 tendence.<\/p>\n<h2>Statistick\u00e9 faktory, kter\u00e9 nesm\u00ed chyb\u011bt<\/h2>\n<p>Prvn\u00ed indik\u00e1tor \u2013 dosavadn\u00ed pr\u016fm\u011br set\u016f v aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed sez\u00f3n\u011b. Druh\u00fd \u2013 v\u00fdkonnost na konkr\u00e9tn\u00edm povrchu. T\u0159et\u00ed \u2013 head\u2011to\u2011head historie: pokud se dvou hr\u00e1\u010d\u016f sety d\u0159\u00edve st\u0159\u00eddaly, pravd\u011bpodobnost \u201eextr\u00e9mn\u00edch\u201c set\u016f roste. \u010ctvrt\u00fd \u2013 fyzick\u00e9 podm\u00ednky: vysok\u00e9 teploty, vlhkost a \u010dasov\u00e9 rozestupy mezi z\u00e1pasy podkop\u00e1vaj\u00ed v\u00fddr\u017e.<\/p>\n<h2>Jak \u010d\u00edst kurzy a nach\u00e1zet hodnotu<\/h2>\n<p>Kurzy na sety jsou \u010dasto podcen\u011bny u hr\u00e1\u010d\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed maj\u00ed \u201cp\u0159irozen\u00fd\u201d rozklad set\u016f. P\u0159i kurzu 2.10 na 3\u2011setov\u00fd z\u00e1pas u hr\u00e1\u010de, kter\u00fd v posledn\u00edch 10 utk\u00e1n\u00edch skon\u010dil v pr\u016fm\u011bru 4,2 setu, m\u00e1te jasnou hodnotu. Kdy\u017e pak srovn\u00e1te s tr\u017en\u00ed nab\u00eddkou \u2013 pokud ostatn\u00ed s\u00e1zka\u0159i odhaduj\u00ed 6 set\u016f, jste v dobr\u00e9 pozici.<\/p>\n<h2>Praktick\u00e9 tipy, co d\u011blat dnes<\/h2>\n<p>1. Vyt\u00e1hn\u011bte si posledn\u00edch 20 setov\u00fdch statistik dan\u00e9ho hr\u00e1\u010de. 2. Porovnejte s pr\u016fm\u011brem turnaje (Open, Roland Garros, Wimbledon, US Open). 3. Pokud je rozd\u00edl >\u202f0,8 setu, hledejte kurzy pod 2.00. 4. V\u017edy kontrolujte, jestli soupe\u0159 nen\u00ed &#8222;setov\u00fd specialista&#8220; \u2013 takov\u00e1 kombinace m\u016f\u017ee rozb\u00edt va\u0161i kalkulaci.<\/p>\n<h2>Ak\u010dn\u00ed krok k zisku<\/h2>\n<p>Na z\u00edt\u0159ej\u0161\u00ed Wimbledon se zam\u011b\u0159te na prvn\u00ed kolo, kde se potk\u00e1v\u00e1 27\u2011let\u00fd Brit a 31\u2011let\u00fd Ameri\u010dan. Brit m\u00e1 pr\u016fm\u011br 3,9 setu, Ameri\u010dan 5,2. Kurz na \u201cm\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e 4 sety\u201d je 1,85 \u2013 podle v\u00fd\u0161e uveden\u00fdch metrik to u\u017e je v\u00fdjime\u010dn\u00e1 nab\u00eddka. Vlo\u017ete 100\u202fK\u010d a podle pravidel bankrollu, pokud je v\u00fdsledek pod 4 sety, z\u00edsk\u00e1te okam\u017eit\u00fd profit. To je ten moment, kdy se teorie setov\u00e9ho s\u00e1zen\u00ed m\u011bn\u00ed v \u010dist\u00fd cash\u2011flow.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Z\u00e1kladn\u00ed probl\u00e9m s p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u00ed set\u016f V\u011bt\u0161ina tip\u00e9r\u016f se zam\u011b\u0159uje na v\u00edt\u011bze z\u00e1pasu, zapom\u00edn\u00e1, \u017ee po\u010det set\u016f je vlastn\u00ed sportovn\u00ed ud\u00e1lost, kde se kurzy h\u00fdbou rychleji ne\u017e m\u00ed\u010d na antuce. Vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed variance, ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed likvidita, a p\u0159esto \u0161ance na v\u00fdnos 2\u20113\u00d7 va\u0161eho vkladu \u2013 to je tenhle segment, kter\u00fd prask\u00e1 po cel\u00e9 planet\u011b. Rozd\u011blen\u00ed hr\u00e1\u010d\u016f podle stylu<a href=\"http:\/\/tuttofare.cz\/?p=62882\">[&#8230;]<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":64,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-62882","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/tuttofare.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62882","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/tuttofare.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/tuttofare.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/tuttofare.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/64"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/tuttofare.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=62882"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/tuttofare.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62882\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/tuttofare.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=62882"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/tuttofare.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=62882"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/tuttofare.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=62882"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}